BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Elgin Valley

Class: 1A Class Rank: 71 Conference: (3-15) Overall: (5-18) Overall Strength =   45.04

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/20/2012 Home    L *  32.72  37  57   1A  47 ( 4-16) Turkey Valley         -12.79     -7.21                      
  2 11/26/2012 Home    L    58.01  26  58   2A   4 (22- 2) North Linn             12.49 *  -44.49                      
  3 11/30/2012 Away    L *  53.17  28  33   1A  36 (12-10) Lansing Kee             7.65    -12.65                      
  4 12/07/2012 Home    W *  53.43  42  25   1A  93 ( 1-21) Postville               7.91      9.09                      
  5 12/08/2012 Home    W    53.84  59  54 1 1A  51 ( 7-17) East Buchanan           8.33     -3.33                      
  6 12/11/2012 Home    L *  34.66  32  64   2A  32 (16- 8) Clayton Ridge         -10.85    -21.15                      
  7 12/14/2012 Home    L *  54.69  37  38   1A  41 (13-10) Elkader Central         9.18    -10.18                      
  8 12/18/2012 Away    L *  48.99  30  42   2A  56 (11-14) Monona MFL MarMac       3.47    -15.47                      
  9 01/04/2013 Home    L *  47.41  36  51   2A  44 (16- 7) North Fayette           1.89    -16.89                      
 10 01/05/2013 Home    L    35.30  27  68   2A  23 (16- 8) Edgewood-Colesburg    -10.22 *  -30.78                      
 11 01/08/2013 Away    L *  44.50  30  44   1A  41 (13-10) Elkader Central        -1.02    -12.98                      
 12 01/11/2013 Home    L *  49.87  36  53   2A  35 (13- 8) South Winneshiek        4.36    -21.36                      
 13 01/15/2013 Home    W *  41.74  30  27   1A  83 ( 3-19) Maynard West Central   -3.78      6.78                      
 14 01/18/2013 Away    L *  44.22  31  52   2A  44 (16- 7) North Fayette          -1.30    -19.70                      
 15 01/22/2013 Home    L *  48.40  33  54   2A  31 (19- 3) SumnerFredericksburg    2.89    -23.89                      
 16 01/24/2013 Away    W    38.21  39  35   1A 100 ( 4-18) Waterloo Christian     -7.30     11.30                      
 17 01/25/2013 Away    L *  41.21  29  60   2A  31 (19- 3) SumnerFredericksburg   -4.31 *  -26.69                      
 18 01/31/2013 Away    L *  56.68  32  45   2A  35 (13- 8) South Winneshiek       11.16 *  -24.16                      
 19 02/01/2013 Away    W *  59.53  48  44   1A  47 ( 4-16) Turkey Valley          14.01    -10.01                      
 20 02/04/2013 Away    L    44.74  25  43   2A  48 (12-13) Arlington Starmont     -0.77    -17.23                      
 21 02/05/2013 Away    L *  34.55  32  39   1A  83 ( 3-19) Maynard West Central  -10.97      3.97                      
 22 02/07/2013 Away    L *  35.50  20  43   1A  41 (13-10) Elkader Central       -10.02    -12.98                      
 23 02/09/2013 Away    L *  35.50  20  43   1A  41 (13-10) Elkader Central       -10.02    -12.98                      
      Averages              45.52  33.0 46.6

Best game:   59.53 = 4 point win over Jackson Junction Turkey Valley
Worst game:  32.72 = 20 point loss to Jackson Junction Turkey Valley
Team stdev:   8.50